基于隐马尔科夫模型的VLCC目的港预测     

杨春  王一丹  徐晖  胡勤友  潘亚兰 《上海海事大学学报》2020,41(4):42-49

超大型油船(very large crude carrier，VLCC)目的港预测对海运原油流向预测以及货源地未来运力估计具有重要作用。针对VLCC的AIS目的港信息存在缺失、更新不及时、不准确等现象，提出一种基于隐马尔科夫模型的VLCC目的港预测方法。分析船舶AIS轨迹数据，得到油船历史停靠港口序列；根据VLCC轨迹提取习惯航路，以航路中的交叉点为依据设置观测线；利用船舶航行轨迹数据判断船舶是否经过观测线以及经过观测线的方向，对不同方向分别计算船舶在挂靠港间的转移概率矩阵和船舶挂靠港与观测线间的输出概率矩阵，建立VLCC目的港预测模型并进行预测。研究结果表明：在大多数情况下VLCC目的港预测的准确率可以达到70%以上；航线越固定、运行越规律的船舶，预测准确率越高；船舶越靠近目的港，预测越准确；重载状态下的船舶目的港预测更准确。  相似文献   

大面积建成区建筑密度遥感制图产品的精度验证     

王帅  覃驭楚  杨富坤 《中国科学院大学学报》2020,37(1):83-92

大面积建成区建筑密度遥感制图产品能够提供土地开发强度与人类居住环境的基础信息，是支撑人居环境研究和土地利用规划的重要数据。全球人类居住区层（global human settlement layer，GHSL）是由欧盟联合研究中心负责的大面积人居环境制图项目，建成区建筑密度遥感制图产品是GHSL重要的组成部分。目前该产品在欧美地区已经完成了GHSL建成区建筑密度遥感制图产品的验证。然而以中国为代表的东亚区域的建筑物形态和城市布局与欧美等区域有较大的差别，有必要在亚洲地区对其进一步验证。以中国的5个典型城市（上海、西安、长春、昆明和乌鲁木齐）大面积单体建筑物分布图为基础，通过聚合分析和邻域关键点搜寻匹配等算法，生成中国建成区建筑密度栅格图像产品作为验证数据，然后通过回归分析等方法，在像元尺度上对GHSL建成区遥感制图产品进行评价验证。结果显示，GHSL建成区建筑密度产品在较低分辨率下可以反映中国地区建筑密度情况，但在较高分辨率下在高值区过高估计密度。本研究可以为中国地区研发建成区建筑面积密度产品提供依据。  相似文献   

2001-2017年尼泊尔中部地区滑坡变化及其影响因素     

孙国庆  陈方  于博  王宁 《中国科学院大学学报》2020,37(3):308-316

滑坡是造成尼泊尔巨大经济损失和人员伤亡的主要地质灾害。目前，遥感方法对滑坡信息的识别、提取和监测具有巨大的潜力。基于随机森林模型的平均不纯度减少算法，选用NDBI、MNDWI、NDVI和红波段4个参数对Landsat遥感数据进行滑坡信息的初提取，同时借助目视解译得到滑坡的精提取结果。采用数据格网的方法将研究区划分为0.05°×0.05°的滑坡格网，并在不同土地覆盖类型中，对滑坡与降雨和温度进行偏相关分析。研究表明：1）尼泊尔中部地区的滑坡主要分布在海拔1 000~2 500 m，坡度20°~40°的范围内；2）相比其他土地覆盖类型，林地中滑坡数目与降雨的偏相关系数为0.671 5，而在草地中滑坡数目与温度的偏相关性最强，其偏相关系数为0.436 1；3）研究区片麻岩、页岩分布广泛，加之地震、断裂带、人类活动的影响，破坏边坡的稳定性，极易造成滑坡灾害。  相似文献   

基于ICWGT和灰色关联分析法的起重机安全评价     

肖汉斌  熊楚宸  祝锋  刘敏 《上海海事大学学报》2020,41(2):117-122

针对目前起重机安全评价过于依赖主观权重且忽视起重机安全状态变化趋势的问题，建立基于改进博弈论组合赋权法（improved combination weighting method of game theory，ICWGT）和灰色关联分析法的起重机安全评价体系。在该评价体系中，收集样本数据以确定评价值，构建评价等级空间来计算起重机行为特征序列与标准行为特征序列的关联系数。运用ICWGT在层次分析法和信息熵 未确知测度理论确定的主、客观权重中寻找平衡。充分考虑专家经验和样本数据，确定优化权重以改善关联系数的分配问题，从而获取起重机灰色关联度评价值和安全等级，旨在对起重机安全状态变化趋势进行更加准确的定量描述和定性分析。实例分析验证了该评价体系的有效性。  相似文献   

Work in Progress: The PCC Task Group on Metadata Application Profiles     

Jodi Williamschen 《Cataloging & classification quarterly》2020,58(3-4):458-463

Abstract

The Program for Cooperative Cataloging (PCC) Task Group on Metadata Application Profiles was convened in May 2019 to help the PCC understand issues and practices associated with the management of metadata application profiles. Their work, discussed here, will guide future decisions and implementations of metadata application profiles in cataloging.  相似文献   

MARC to BIBFRAME: Converting the PCC to Linked Data     

Jacquie Samples  Ian Bigelow 《Cataloging & classification quarterly》2020,58(3-4):403-417

Abstract

The Program for Cooperative Cataloging (PCC) has formal relationships with the Library of Congress (LC), Share-VDE, and Linked Data for Production Phase 2 (LD4P2) for work on Bibliographic Framework (BIBFRAME), and PCC institutions have been very active in the exploration of MARC to BIBFRAME conversion processes. This article will review the involvement of PCC in the development of BIBFRAME and examine the work of LC, Share-VDE, and LD4P2 on MARC to BIBFRAME conversion. It will conclude with a discussion of areas for further exploration by the PCC leading up to the creation of PCC conversion specifications and PCC BIBFRAME data.  相似文献   

图书情报学领域学科交叉及其国家差异的动态分析     

王思茗  滕广青 《图书情报知识》2020,(3):109-118,F0003

[目的/意义]领域知识的跨学科交叉研究能够打破学科间的壁垒,有助于发现重大科学问题的解决方案。[研究设计/方法]基于图书情报学领域文献题录信息构建轻量级领域知识图谱,从中提取学科信息、国家信息、时间信息及其关联,采用时间与空间相结合的多维度分析方法,对学科交叉的演化进程以及国家差异进行跟踪与分析。[结论/发现]图书情报学领域内学科交叉现象日渐显著,各国家的学科交叉程度与倾向存在差异,一些目前尚不突出的交叉学科方向值得关注。[创新/价值]采用多维度视角分析学科交叉现象,相关结论可以为国家科技战略制定及学科发展规划提供有益参考。  相似文献   

Digital Module 16: Longitudinal Data Analysis     

Jeffrey R. Harring  Tessa L. Johnson 《Educational Measurement》2020,39(3):137-138

In this digital ITEMS module, Dr. Jeffrey Harring and Ms. Tessa Johnson introduce the linear mixed effects (LME) model as a flexible general framework for simultaneously modeling continuous repeated measures data with a scientifically defensible function that adequately summarizes both individual change as well as the average response. The module begins with a nontechnical overview of longitudinal data analyses drawing distinctions with cross-sectional analyses in terms of research questions to be addressed. Nuances of longitudinal designs, timing of measurements, and the real possibility of missing data are then discussed. The three interconnected components of the LME model—(1) a model for individual and mean response profiles, (2) a model to characterize the covariation among the time-specific residuals, and (3) a set of models that summarize the extent that individual coefficients vary—are discussed in the context of the set of activities comprising an analysis. Finally, they demonstrate how to estimate the linear mixed effects model within an open-source environment (R). The digital module contains sample R code, diagnostic quiz questions, hands-on activities in R, curated resources, and a glossary.  相似文献   

Contextual factors on physical demands in professional women’s soccer: Female Athletes in Motion study     

Jason D. Vescovi  Olesya Falenchuk 《European Journal of Sport Science》2019,19(2):141-146

The aim of this study was to examine the impact of contextual factors on relative locomotor and metabolic power distances during professional female soccer matches. Twenty-eight players (forwards, n?=?4; midfielders, n?=?12; defenders, n?=?12) that competed in a 90-min home and away match (regular season only). The generalised estimating equations (GEE) was used to evaluate relative locomotor and metabolic power distances for three contextual factors: location (home vs. away), type of turf (natural vs. artificial), and match outcome (win, loss and draw). No differences were observed for home vs. away matches. Moderate-intensity running (20.0?±?1.0?m?min^?1 and 16.4?±?0.9?m?min^?1), high-intensity running (8.6?±?0.4?m?min^?1 and 7.3?±?0.4?m?min^?1) and high-metabolic power (16.3?±?0.5?m?min^?1 and 14.4?±?0.5?m?min^?1) distances were elevated on artificial turf compared to natural grass, respectively. Relative sprint distance was greater during losses compared with draws (4.3?±?0.4?m?min^?1 and 3.4?±?0.3?m?min^?1). Overall physical demands of professional women’s soccer were not impacted by match location. However, the elevation of moderate and high-intensity demands while playing on artificial turf may have implications on match preparations as well as recovery strategies.  相似文献   

Olfaction and emotion: The quest for olfactory restoration in two speech communities     

Sally O. Hastings  Trudy Milburn 《Journal of International and Intercultural Communication》2019,12(2):190-207

ABSTRACT

Olfaction has been described as one of the least studied of the senses. This has certainly proven true in Communication. This project applies Ethnography of Communication and Cultural Discourse Analysis to examine the role that olfaction plays in the cultural meaning systems of two speech communities: residents surrounding the Gowanus Canal and bereaved parents. The cultural hub used to explore the cultural significance of olfaction in both speech communities is feeling. The analyses illustrate how emotions are tied to associated sensations and further become activated through radiants of dwelling, relating and acting. The analysis also shows how olfaction may serve to unify and separate members of a community. The significance of this research encourages stretching the boundaries of communication studies by examining the less studied physical senses and the boundaries of Cultural Discourse Analysis by providing distinctions that others can incorporate when examining feelings.  相似文献